While wildfire increases, SEFS-led research on historical fire regimes shows the Pacific Northwest is in a fire deficit

Prof Brian Harvey’s Lab conducted research of the Norse Fire from 2017 in the Snoqualmie National Forest.

Despite increasing wildfire activity over the last few decades, contemporary fire years burn less than a quarter of the area burned on average historically. A recent study led by SEFS affiliate faculty members and Washington Department of Natural Resources forest ecologists Dan Donato and Josh Halofsky, and SEFS associate professor Brian Harvey, compared fire activity between 1985 and 2020 to historical fire amounts and severities. SEFS affiliate assistant professors Alina Cansler, Derek Churchill, and Ryan Haugo were co-authors on the paper, published in the journal Forest Ecology and Management.

Prior to the 20th century, the drier, inland forests of eastern Washington and Oregon experienced active fire regimes, both from lightning ignitions as well as Indigenous cultural burning practices. The frequent fire activity played an important role in the ecosystem, removing grasses, shrubs, small trees, and dead leaves that act as fuel for fires, and maintaining forest health by promoting fire-resilient species across the landscape. Fire suppression practices, which became common in the 1900s, dramatically lowered the amount of fire activity at all severity levels. Combined with other land-use impacts, the resulting denser, simpler makeup of modern forests is less resilient to climate change and ecological disturbances.

Now, the forests of eastern Washington and Oregon exist in a fire deficit, with less area burned in all severity types than occurred historically. The biggest deficits of area burned compared to historical rates are for low- and moderate-severity fire, but even high-severity area burned is below historical rates for most years in most forest zones.

Understanding the context of fire in this region may reframe how we view wildfire in relation to forest heath and re-evaluate what constitutes a ‘good’ or ‘bad’ wildfire year. Even in large wildfires, much of the area burned is likely contributing to forest restoration objectives. The “work” that low- to moderate-severity fire can do – thinning the forest to reduce stand densities to favor larger fire-resistant trees, and breaking up the homogenous, dense stands of modern forests – often aligns with the goals of restoration efforts on a larger and more effective scale.

“Often, fire years get cast as ‘bad’ mainly based on area. This analysis shows that that’s too simplistic, and maybe even just incorrect. On average, more than half of that fire is doing beneficial work of some kind,” said Donato.

Large wildfires carry clear risks and negative impacts to communities, such as loss of life and property, burning municipal watersheds, or affecting resources of value. But classifying fires based on area alone fails to recognize the benefits that can also occur. “It’s complex, because within the total area burned by wildfires there is a broad diversity of outcomes,” said Harvey. Small fire years lower certain risks but also further exacerbate the fire deficit, and consequently, lessen the landscape’s resilience. A more comprehensive method of assessing fire impacts, the authors suggest, would consider both the negative impacts and the “work” accomplished by wildfires.

The study highlights the need for restoring fire-dependent forests through a combination of forest thinning, prescribed burning, and managed wildfires. “Forest restoration is expensive and difficult. Managed wildfire, and the good work that some fires do, is a really important tool in the toolbox that can expand the area of our effective restoration treatment,” said Donato.

Credit: University of Washington

The study does not suggest a return to historical fire regimes, given the vast increases in infrastructure and human populations, but provides critical context for recent trends and future expectations in wildfire activity.

“This changes what our baseline expectations for a fire year should be. It’s useful to think about what this means for the additional impacts of fires as well, whether it be smoke or impacts on ecosystems and wildlife. Our baseline for all of those things, for our lifespans, is probably anomalously or artificially low,” said Harvey.

As annual area burned increases due to warming temperatures and increased drought, the relationship between high-severity and low- to moderate-severity wildfires may change in surprising ways, the authors noted. But harnessing the work of wildfire in appropriate places and under safe conditions, while minimizing negative impacts is an important mechanism for restoring resilient forests.


Laura Prugh Receives CAREER Grant to Study How Wolves Impact Smaller Carnivores in Washington

Professor Laura Prugh was recently awarded a National Science Foundation grant for $898,551—provided through the Faculty Early-Career Development (CAREER) program—to support a new project in northern Washington, “Integrating positive and negative interactions in carnivore community ecology.”

Laura collaring a wolf in Denali.

Large carnivores are key components of ecosystems, and as wolves naturally recolonize Washington, their presence could have cascading effects on a variety of species, including smaller carnivores, known as mesopredators. While wolves can reduce populations of mesopredators through killing and intimidation, they may also benefit these smaller carnivores by providing easy meals in the form of carrion. This study, in turn, will focus on the movements and population dynamics of two common mesopredators, coyotes and bobcats, as part of a collaborative investigation of wolves, cougars, deer and elk—with the ultimate aim of improving carnivore conservation and management.

“I’m fascinated by the fact that large carnivores provide food to small carnivores in the form of carrion, and yet they also kill small carnivores,” says Laura, an assistant professor of quantitative wildlife sciences in the School of Environmental and Forest Sciences (SEFS). “Scavenging and intra-carnivore killing have been treated as separate phenomena, but I’ve proposed that they are in fact closely linked: carrion could be an ecological trap that makes small carnivores vulnerable to being killed by their larger cousins. I’m looking forward to testing this ‘fatal attraction’ hypothesis and learning more about complex interactions at the top of the food chain.”

The project—which will run from June 15, 2017, to May 31, 2022—includes several collaborators, including Professor Leslie Herrenkohl from the UW College of Education; Professor Jonathan Pauli from the University of Wisconsin; Angela Davis-Unger from the UW Office of Educational Assessment; the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife; the Alaska Native Science and Education Program (ANSEP); and Symbio Studios.

These partners will use a powerful combination of animal-borne GPS and video tracking technology, stable isotope enrichment of carcasses, fecal genotyping, and cameras at kill sites to jointly examine facilitation and suppression. This research will be integrated into a wildlife course at SEFS with 150 students per year—ESRM 150: Wildlife in the Modern World—by creating new inquiry-based labs using photos from carcass sites. In addition, this study will involve Alaska Native students in field and lab research in partnership with the Alaska Native Science and Engineering Program, and video vignettes about carnivore ecology will be created in partnership with Symbio Studios to reach 2 million K-12 students per year for five to seven years.

Photos © Laura Prugh.

A coyote scavenging a wolf kill site in Alaska. This study focuses on coyotes and bobcats as study subjects because they differ strongly in their scavenging activity but are otherwise ecologically similar.